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2025-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.5% 66.5% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Longino 39 8-19 2-6 9-12 3 7 1 0 2 27 17 -8.9
J. Brickus 37 4-10 4-8 0-0 2 6 1 0 4 12 7 -10.3
E. Dixon 33 7-16 3-8 1-1 9 1 1 0 3 18 10 -8.1
T. Perkins 30 3-7 1-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 7 8 -7.2
W. Poplar 27 2-5 0-2 4-6 6 1 1 1 3 8 9 -9.0
E. Boakye 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 6 -3.5
J. Moseley 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3.8
K. Parker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.7
J. Dumont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Joplin 38 3-11 0-6 2-2 5 2 2 1 0 8 7 +16.5
K. Jones 34 6-14 1-5 3-4 5 5 0 1 3 16 10 +17.2
S. Mitchell 33 7-10 1-3 6-8 4 3 3 0 2 21 19 +7.6
C. Ross 29 5-8 2-4 6-7 4 2 0 1 0 18 17 +10.4
B. Gold 28 1-4 1-3 5-6 9 0 0 0 1 8 12 +10.6
Z. Lowery 12 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 +7.6
R. Parham 11 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 5 +3.9
T. Norman 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.2
D. Owens 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +2.2

* = starter