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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +2 (80-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Telfort 39 11-23 0-7 3-4 3 1 2 0 1 25 7 +10.2
F. Bizjack 37 6-15 3-6 2-4 5 2 1 0 2 17 8 +3.1
P. Brooks 34 1-4 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 2 2 4 -5.9
L. Moore 31 0-3 0-1 6-6 5 2 0 0 0 6 10 -3.3
P. McCaffery 30 2-4 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 7 7 +3.1
A. Screen 30 5-6 0-0 3-6 9 1 0 3 3 13 17 -0.7
B. Kapke 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 3 0 0 3 4 +1.9
E. Haywood 9 1-1 1-1 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 +0.8

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ball 41 8-14 5-10 2-3 6 0 0 0 1 23 14 +6.2
A. Karaban 40 8-17 2-6 1-1 7 6 1 3 2 19 17 -4.8
H. Diarra 39 2-11 0-2 0-0 7 9 3 0 1 4 11 +3.4
J. Stewart 33 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 4 +11.5
T. Reed Jr. 23 6-10 0-0 2-5 7 1 2 2 1 14 15 -5.3
S. Johnson 22 5-8 0-0 4-5 5 1 0 4 1 14 15 +8.5
J. Ross 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -7.9
A. Mahaney 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.1
A. Nowell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.9
Y. Singare 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter