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2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Georgetown Hoyas Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% -

Actual: Villanova Wildcats -1 (63-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Peavy 36 9-16 6-9 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 24 12 +6.1
T. Sorber 35 3-14 0-1 9-10 11 4 1 0 3 15 14 +3.0
M. Mack 34 1-9 0-4 1-1 2 2 2 0 0 3 0 +7.8
J. Epps 31 5-11 3-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 15 9 +8.0
C. Williams 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 8 -0.5
D. Fielder 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 +1.4
J. Burks 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 +10.3
C. Williams 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Dixon 38 10-23 5-10 4-7 6 3 0 0 6 29 9 +4.9
J. Longino 36 6-13 3-6 3-3 1 2 0 0 2 18 6 -3.3
T. Perkins 34 1-6 0-5 0-0 7 0 2 1 1 2 5 -7.1
E. Boakye 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 1 0 4 14 -8.8
J. Brickus 23 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 7 1 0 5 3 3 +6.9
J. Moseley 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 7 -13.3
K. Parker 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -0.3
W. Poplar 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter