Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bensley Joseph | 40 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +12.8 |
| Jayden Pierre | 36 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +14.4 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 35 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +11.0 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | +14.3 |
| Justyn Fernandez | 27 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +12.9 |
| Jabri Abdur-Rahim | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Eli DeLaurier | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Rich Barron | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wooga Poplar | 39 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -9.0 |
| Eric Dixon | 37 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | -11.2 |
| Jordan Longino | 35 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -10.6 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 33 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -8.1 |
| Tyler Perkins | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10.6 |
| Enoch Boakye | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.3 |
| Josiah Moseley | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.2 |
| Kris Parker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
* = starter