Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Longino | 37 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Eric Dixon | 37 | 6-16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -5.2 |
| Wooga Poplar | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -6.7 |
| Enoch Boakye | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -14.2 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -11.4 |
| Tyler Perkins | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.7 |
| Kris Parker | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Josiah Moseley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1.2 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayvion McKnight | 39 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Zach Freemantle | 36 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +13.9 |
| Dailyn Swain | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +16.8 |
| Ryan Conwell | 31 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 12-14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 29 | +14.5 |
| Marcus Foster | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Jerome Hunter | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Dante Maddox Jr. | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -14.3 |
| John Hugley IV | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
* = starter