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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Georgetown Hoyas St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 5.7% 94.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.9% 94.1% +15.2 โœ“ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.9% 96.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.8% 96.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Micah Peavy 40 9-20 1-2 2-4 7 1 3 0 4 21 8 +3.7
Malik Mack 37 5-17 1-5 2-3 4 6 2 0 5 13 3 +2.1
Drew Fielder 36 2-3 0-1 0-0 12 0 1 0 1 4 13 +1.4
Thomas Sorber 32 2-4 0-1 1-1 10 1 1 3 4 5 12 +9.7
C. Williams 24 5-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 4 -
Caleb Williams 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -5.2
Jayden Epps 10 1-6 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 1 +0.2
Jordan Burks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -3.8

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Luis Jr. 38 7-19 2-7 3-6 3 1 0 2 4 19 2 +6.7
Aaron Scott 36 4-10 4-7 2-2 9 1 3 0 0 14 17 +4.3
Kadary Richmond 35 5-13 0-1 0-1 2 8 3 1 2 10 9 +0.5
Zuby Ejiofor 31 4-7 0-0 2-3 9 1 0 0 2 10 11 -7.8
Simeon Wilcher 29 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 2 2 5 2 -0.5
J. Glover-Toscano 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Vincent Iwuchukwu 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 +3.3
Lefteris Liotopoulos 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +4.3
Rubรฉn Prey 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -5.1
Sadiku Ibine Ayo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.2

* = starter