Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Dixon | 38 | 6-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Jordan Longino | 37 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Wooga Poplar | 37 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | -9.4 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 34 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | -9.5 |
| Kris Parker | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Tyler Perkins | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Enoch Boakye | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Josiah Moseley | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.9 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Scott | 39 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +14.8 |
| RJ Luis Jr. | 34 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 16-20 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 26 | +15.3 |
| Zuby Ejiofor | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +14.1 |
| Kadary Richmond | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | -7.1 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 28 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | +5.4 |
| Deivon Smith | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +23.1 |
| Rubén Prey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Vincent Iwuchukwu | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Glover-Toscano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter