Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban | 36 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 32 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Solo Ball | 32 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Hassan Diarra | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | +1.3 |
| Samson Johnson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Aidan Mahaney | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Jayden Ross | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.5 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Dixon | 40 | 6-20 | 2-8 | 9-9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Wooga Poplar | 36 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Jordan Longino | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +9.3 |
| Enoch Boakye | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Tyler Perkins | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Kris Parker | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Josiah Moseley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4.1 |
* = starter