Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars +19 (84-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Brooks | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -21.1 |
| Patrick McCaffery | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -14.4 |
| Jahmyl Telfort | 28 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -21.3 |
| Andre Screen | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -15.4 |
| Landon Moore | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Finley Bizjack | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -25.5 |
| Kolby King | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Boden Kapke | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Evan Haywood | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 37 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | +24.0 |
| Ryan Mela | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | +24.0 |
| Bensley Joseph | 29 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +29.4 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Wesley Cardet | 25 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +16.4 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +6.6 |
| Jabri Abdur-Rahim | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +5.4 |
| Anton Bonke | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +15.0 |
| Justyn Fernandez | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.3 |
* = starter