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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayden Pierre 37 8-16 3-8 5-5 3 0 1 0 2 24 10 +5.1
Oswin Erhunmwunse 32 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 1 6 12 +6.9
Corey Floyd Jr. 29 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 8 +3.6
Wesley Cardet 28 7-13 0-1 4-5 3 0 1 1 2 18 8 +8.7
Ryan Mela 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 10 10 -0.2
Bensley Joseph 20 2-6 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 0 +4.7
Rich Barron 19 3-8 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 9 3 +1.1
Anton Bonke 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -5.4
Jabri Abdur-Rahim 6 0-1 0-0 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 +3.0

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Karaban 39 5-8 1-3 2-3 4 3 0 4 0 13 16 -5.1
Hassan Diarra 38 4-8 1-2 10-11 2 8 3 0 3 19 21 +5.9
Solo Ball 37 5-9 2-4 4-5 4 2 1 0 0 16 14 -0.8
Aidan Mahaney 20 4-5 2-2 5-6 0 0 0 0 1 15 9 -10.6
Samson Johnson 20 5-9 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 0 0 10 5 -10.9
Tarris Reed Jr. 18 3-5 0-0 4-4 5 2 1 3 3 10 13 -3.4
Jaylin Stewart 17 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 +9.6
Jayden Ross 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter