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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 9.8% 90.2% -
Bradley-Terry 7.5% 92.5% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% -
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% -
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% -

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Telfort 40 5-16 0-3 1-2 4 3 3 0 5 11 0 +1.0
P. McCaffery 34 5-11 3-8 0-0 11 2 0 0 2 13 13 -4.6
P. Brooks 31 6-15 3-6 2-5 8 2 0 0 3 17 9 -5.0
K. King 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 5 3 0 3 4 11 -11.1
A. Screen 20 2-6 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 2 2 6 5 +2.7
L. Moore 19 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 1 5 +9.2
F. Bizjack 18 2-3 1-1 1-4 3 0 0 0 3 6 3 -0.6
B. Kapke 15 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 +0.2

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Luis 34 9-19 0-5 2-2 11 0 4 0 3 20 13 +5.8
K. Richmond 32 5-12 0-2 1-4 6 6 3 2 2 11 14 +7.0
Z. Ejiofor 30 4-7 0-2 6-8 8 0 2 1 2 14 16 +4.9
D. Smith 29 4-12 0-3 5-5 6 4 2 1 2 13 12 +5.9
A. Scott 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 7 1 2 2 0 4 12 +14.5
S. Wilcher 18 1-8 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -4 +7.4
S. Ibine Ayo 17 1-6 1-4 1-2 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 -11.4
R. Prey 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.8
L. Liotopoulos 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.1
V. Iwuchukwu 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.0
J. Glover-Toscano 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter