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2025-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Georgetown Hoyas Spread Result
Elo 81.4% 18.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 โœ— (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 75.1% 24.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—

Actual: Georgetown Hoyas +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Foster 32 2-8 0-4 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 5 2 -5.3
Zach Freemantle 31 5-12 2-3 4-7 7 1 1 0 3 16 10 -4.4
Dayvion McKnight 31 4-12 0-1 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 12 7 -12.5
Ryan Conwell 30 4-11 2-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 12 5 -8.3
Jerome Hunter 28 2-5 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 0 1 7 8 -14.7
Dailyn Swain 26 3-5 1-1 4-6 4 1 2 0 0 11 13 -5.6
Dante Maddox Jr. 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -6.6
John Hugley IV 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.8

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Micah Peavy 39 7-14 0-2 1-2 10 2 0 0 4 15 9 +14.0
Caleb Williams 36 3-6 1-2 0-1 9 1 0 1 0 7 12 +9.0
Thomas Sorber 35 5-12 0-2 2-3 5 2 1 2 2 12 8 +15.2
Malik Mack 35 8-16 3-9 7-9 2 3 0 1 4 26 12 +13.2
Drew Fielder 27 2-4 0-1 1-4 7 0 0 0 1 5 7 +12.0
Jordan Burks 13 0-0 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 3 6 +0.4
C. Williams 11 0-4 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 -
Jayden Epps 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +1.3

* = starter