🐻⬇️🏀

Villanova Wildcats 73
@
Butler Bulldogs 65
2025-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 60.9% 39.1% - ✓
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.6 ✓ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.9% 36.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% - ✓

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Dixon 38 10-20 5-10 3-3 4 3 1 0 3 28 13 +7.5
W. Poplar 38 7-13 2-5 2-2 15 3 1 0 1 18 23 +8.2
J. Longino 31 3-7 1-3 5-6 4 4 2 0 0 12 15 +9.3
E. Boakye 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 0 0 0 12 +15.3
J. Brickus 24 3-7 1-3 2-2 0 4 0 2 2 9 6 +0.4
T. Perkins 24 1-7 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 0 -7.6
K. Parker 17 1-2 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 +2.1
J. Moseley 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.0

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Telfort 39 8-14 2-4 7-11 10 6 2 1 0 25 30 -1.3
P. Brooks 37 3-8 2-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 10 3 -1.1
P. McCaffery 33 3-12 1-10 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 -6.7
F. Bizjack 29 2-6 2-4 2-6 4 2 0 0 2 8 6 -13.2
A. Screen 20 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 8 7 +6.2
B. Kapke 19 2-4 2-3 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -9.1
L. Moore 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1.3
K. King 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 +8.3
E. Haywood 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

* = starter