Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. McNeeley | 37 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +3.3 |
| A. Karaban | 35 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | +15.2 |
| H. Diarra | 32 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | +14.8 |
| S. Ball | 26 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +17.9 |
| T. Reed Jr. | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5.5 |
| S. Johnson | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +0.9 |
| J. Ross | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7.6 |
| A. Mahaney | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -11.4 |
| J. Stewart | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.1 |
| Y. Singare | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Telfort | 39 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| P. McCaffery | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | -14.9 |
| P. Brooks | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -17.4 |
| A. Screen | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 24 | +6.3 |
| K. King | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | +10.0 |
| L. Moore | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +14.0 |
| F. Bizjack | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
| B. Kapke | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +5.3 |
* = starter