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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahmyl Telfort 38 5-8 2-4 4-5 10 4 0 0 3 16 19 -2.9
Patrick McCaffery 35 5-9 2-4 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 13 9 -8.9
Finley Bizjack 34 1-7 1-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 5 -1 -0.5
Pierre Brooks 34 4-8 2-5 1-1 3 3 0 0 2 11 7 -5.6
Kolby King 27 6-10 1-3 3-3 2 2 0 0 3 16 7 -2.4
Andre Screen 15 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 3 2 6 11 -3.8
Landon Moore 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -4.2
Evan Haywood 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Boden Kapke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kam Jones 36 11-24 1-7 0-0 7 5 2 0 1 23 12 +11.6
David Joplin 31 4-17 1-8 6-6 6 1 0 0 0 15 5 +9.4
Chase Ross 31 3-8 1-4 1-2 4 4 2 1 0 8 11 +4.9
Stevie Mitchell 30 6-6 0-0 3-4 9 0 2 0 1 15 19 +6.5
Ben Gold 29 4-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 9 11 +3.5
Zaide Lowery 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.7
Tre Norman 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 +6.7
Royce Parham 10 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 1 +0.7
Damarius Owens 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.4
Caedin Hamilton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter