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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +5 (94-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Conwell 41 9-13 3-5 2-3 3 1 1 0 3 23 12 +0.2
D. McKnight 39 6-9 1-3 5-5 4 3 0 0 2 18 14 -3.3
D. Maddox Jr. 35 6-14 5-9 5-7 4 1 0 1 2 22 12 -5.9
M. Foster 32 5-12 3-6 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 15 7 +3.6
J. Hunter 26 2-4 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 7 7 -0.3
D. Swain 22 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -8.1
J. Hugley IV 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -0.2
C. Fletcher 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +3.9

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 43 8-15 3-8 1-1 5 2 0 3 2 20 13 +4.0
H. Diarra 42 5-11 1-4 1-2 3 11 0 1 1 12 15 +16.1
T. Reed Jr. 35 7-11 0-0 6-6 13 2 2 4 2 20 28 +6.8
S. Ball 34 6-17 3-8 7-7 3 0 4 0 1 22 11 +7.1
L. McNeeley 21 4-8 1-2 5-5 3 4 0 0 0 14 13 +7.5
J. Stewart 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 -5.2
J. Ross 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 0 3 -7.0
Y. Singare 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 +4.2
A. Mahaney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8

* = starter