Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +22 (74-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Uhrich | 31 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | -8.2 |
| D. Ballena | 31 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -19.2 |
| S. Johnston | 28 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -9.3 |
| S. Gandy | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -11.5 |
| S. Chambers | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -7.2 |
| L. Bull | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.2 |
| A. Banks | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.7 |
| K. Doman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -11.2 |
| C. Kay | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.6 |
| J. Brown | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6.3 |
| O. Malafu | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.6 |
| D. Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Earle | 36 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | +18.1 |
| Emma Troxell | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +20.3 |
| Erin Woodson | 31 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | +21.6 |
| Breanna Davis | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | +14.9 |
| Meredith Mayes | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 18 | +13.4 |
| P. Pique | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Aimee Flippen | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Natalia Chavez | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Zoe Jackson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | +4.4 |
| C. Gomez | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter