Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.2% | 8.8% | -12.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles -25 (45-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Peguero | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +9.3 |
| Ashley Baez | 28 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Leilani Guion | 25 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +7.3 |
| Brianna Jackson | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | +12.0 |
| Emani Jenkins | 21 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +8.2 |
| Khila Morris | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Fortuna Ngnawo | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Emma Imevbore | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Zay Dyer | 12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Adriana Jones | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.2 |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyla Jean | 38 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | -7.4 |
| Morgan Sieper | 37 | 2-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | -5.9 |
| Trinity Rowe | 30 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -11.0 |
| Bre Sutton | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | -5.7 |
| Melyia Grayson | 26 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -13.9 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Samantha Shanks | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Mikaylah Manley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Micah Cooper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ava Shields | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter