Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | -3.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikaylah Manley | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Nyla Jean | 30 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Melyia Grayson | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | -4.7 |
| Bre Sutton | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6.8 |
| Morgan Sieper | 24 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Trinity Rowe | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Micah Cooper | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Samantha Shanks | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -0.4 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gonzalez | 39 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | +7.8 |
| Rachel Leggett | 36 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | +6.6 |
| C. Narcisse | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +6.9 |
| P. Okafor Nweze | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +6.5 |
| N. Howard | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| T. Coffil | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +7.0 |
| T. Green | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Michiyah Simmons | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | +0.4 |
| A. Walker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
| A. Spann | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter