Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Ellis | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | -20.3 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -17.1 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 24 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | -12.1 |
| Carson Schwieger | 22 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -17.3 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -13.6 |
| All Wright | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 16 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | -4.7 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Justus McNair | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | +0.3 |
| Lucas Scroggins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Louth Coulibaly | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| C. Schwieger | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17.3 |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | +19.3 |
| Kaden Metheny | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +23.2 |
| Owen Aquino | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 25 | +16.4 |
| Colin Porter | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +18.3 |
| Jayvon Maughmer | 22 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +13.1 |
| Taelon Peter | 19 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Isaiah Ihnen | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Gabriel McKay | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Zander Yates | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.0 |
| JC Shirer Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kai Yu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Curtis Blair III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
* = starter