Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames +23 (79-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Ware | 30 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | -22.4 |
| Jaden Wells | 26 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -15.6 |
| Brody Robinson | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Darius Burford | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Raysean Seamster | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -20.8 |
| Diante Smith | 17 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -16.3 |
| Troy Hupstead | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Kade Douglas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Jarren Cook | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -10.6 |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayvon Maughmer | 36 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +15.0 |
| Colin Porter | 36 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +19.5 |
| Zach Cleveland | 35 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | +22.0 |
| Kaden Metheny | 33 | 8-14 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | +28.0 |
| Owen Aquino | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | +23.5 |
| Taelon Peter | 21 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +10.2 |
| Curtis Blair III | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Gabriel McKay | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Kai Yu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter