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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sebastian Hartmann 35 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 7 9 -0.7
Mason Williams 30 12-15 3-4 8-10 1 1 1 0 4 35 19 -3.8
Emmett Marquardt 28 4-9 1-3 3-3 3 1 1 0 1 12 7 -8.0
Andrew Cook 22 4-7 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 2 1 9 8 -1.8
Sam Stockton 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 0 2 -5.3
Nic McClain 15 0-7 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 0 -8 -4.4
Tyler Powell 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 +3.6
Vice Zanki 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -4.8
Elijah Thomas 12 0-2 0-2 3-3 2 0 0 1 0 3 4 -5.4
Pavlo Dziuba 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 +0.3
Angelo Winkel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Griffin 37 2-10 1-5 2-2 5 4 1 0 0 7 7 +6.6
Dylan Darling 37 8-15 3-8 10-10 9 6 2 0 6 29 25 +8.5
Connor Hollenbeck 31 6-9 4-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 16 10 +7.8
Jake O'Neil 27 3-5 0-0 2-3 8 1 1 0 2 8 11 +6.7
Evan Otten 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 5 0 1 10 +5.4
Jackson Greene 21 0-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 2 0 0 3 7 +0.5
AJ Burgin 16 5-9 4-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 14 8 +0.5
Blake Daberkow 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.2
Quentin Meza 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -2.1

* = starter