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2025-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% - โœ“
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 โœ— (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles -9 (61-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carson Towt 37 4-4 0-0 0-3 10 4 1 0 6 8 13 +8.8
Trent McLaughlin 36 5-14 2-7 8-8 4 2 1 0 2 20 11 +5.0
Jayden Jackson 35 0-5 0-1 4-5 5 7 2 0 2 4 11 +17.8
Diego Campisano 32 6-12 2-6 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 17 10 +5.8
Monty Bowser 22 3-5 3-5 1-2 4 0 2 0 1 10 10 +11.8
Ryan Abelman 20 2-8 1-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 3 -3.2
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt 9 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 6 +2.0
Dillan Baker 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Oakland Fort 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.0
C.J. Ford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nic McClain 32 1-5 0-1 2-5 4 5 4 1 2 4 11 -6.8
Sebastian Hartmann 31 4-9 1-5 2-4 3 2 0 2 1 11 8 -9.8
Andrew Cook 31 5-10 0-1 0-1 5 1 2 0 0 10 8 -11.8
Mason Williams 29 6-13 3-8 3-3 2 2 2 1 2 18 10 -9.8
Emmett Marquardt 26 2-8 1-3 2-4 5 2 0 1 0 7 7 +0.2
Tyler Powell 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 3 +2.1
Pavlo Dziuba 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 4 1 -5.0
Vice Zanki 10 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 +3.1
Sam Stockton 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.1
Angelo Winkel 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.0

* = starter