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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -11 (54-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Williams 31 2-13 1-6 4-4 5 2 2 1 4 9 2 +8.9
Sebastian Hartmann 30 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 2 4 +0.2
Tyler Powell 25 3-6 3-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 9 10 +15.4
Andrew Cook 24 0-6 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 2 2 +6.7
Nic McClain 21 5-7 4-4 0-1 6 3 0 0 4 14 12 +11.9
Emmett Marquardt 18 6-10 4-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 16 10 +2.8
Vice Zanki 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 6 2 +20.2
Sam Stockton 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 2 4 -9.7
Angelo Winkel 9 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 5 6 +6.6
Shaumba Ngoyi 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -11.3
Jackson Seale 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10.1
Pavlo Dziuba 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.9

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bowyn Beatty 31 1-5 0-2 1-1 7 2 1 2 1 3 9 -8.9
Bailey Nunn 28 2-10 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 7 -5 -7.0
EJ Neal 28 2-8 0-3 1-2 4 3 2 2 0 5 8 +6.3
Julian Vaughns 26 3-13 1-7 4-4 2 1 3 1 0 11 5 +9.9
Jacob Holt 26 1-7 0-4 3-6 3 0 3 1 2 5 3 -16.6
Michael Wilson 19 2-6 1-4 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 8 8 -19.0
Lachlan Brewer 16 0-2 0-1 1-3 3 0 1 0 2 1 1 -20.5
Chudi Dioramma 14 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 1 6 8 -1.9
Deonte Williams 12 2-3 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 1 1 8 11 +11.0

* = starter