Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Eastern Washington Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles -4 (78-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder * | 36 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Isaac Jessup * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +2.1 |
| Owen Koonce * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | +12.5 |
| Mac Riniker * | 26 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | +17.6 |
| Luka Tarlac * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Kieran Elliott | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -5.5 |
| Peter Bandelj | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -5.9 |
| Paul Bizimana | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.7 |
| Ethan Menzies | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
Eastern Washington Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic McClain * | 32 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 22 | -1.7 |
| Sebastian Hartmann * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Mason Williams * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +12.6 |
| Andrew Cook * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -7.4 |
| Emmett Marquardt * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -17.6 |
| Vice Zanki | 19 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Powell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +24.3 |
| Elijah Thomas | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -9.6 |
| Sam Stockton | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Jackson Seale | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Shaumba Ngoyi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Pavlo Dziuba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
* = starter