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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model VMI Keydets Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“

Actual: Richmond Spiders +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tan Yildizoglu 36 6-12 1-4 4-4 5 3 3 0 3 17 13 -7.0
Rickey Bradley 36 10-16 3-5 3-5 5 3 1 0 1 26 18 -5.1
TJ Johnson 35 2-8 1-5 0-1 8 1 1 0 1 5 6 -4.1
Linus Holmstrom 26 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 4 -1.8
Kaden Stuckey 22 2-5 1-2 3-3 4 1 2 1 1 8 10 -1.0
Cal Liston 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -8.1
Robert Peters 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 0 -3.5
Maurice Wright Jr. 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
AJ Clark 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 +6.3

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Delonnie Hunt 36 2-3 1-1 11-12 4 1 1 0 3 16 16 +5.0
Jason Roche 29 2-8 2-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 6 -1 +7.1
Mike Walz 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 3 0 4 16 +4.2
Dusan Neskovic 25 8-16 3-8 4-4 6 2 0 0 1 23 14 -4.3
Apostolos Roumoglou 24 4-9 2-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 10 4 +8.4
Mikkel Tyne 19 1-3 0-1 1-3 0 2 1 0 2 3 1 -1.9
B. White 17 2-8 2-8 2-3 2 2 0 0 2 8 2 -8.8
Jonathan Beagle 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 4 8 +4.5
Collin Tanner 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 4 8 +10.6

* = starter