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2024-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.6% 32.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“

Actual: Richmond Spiders +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Clayton * 35 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 0 5 -6.4
Kellen Tynes * 35 6-10 0-1 6-6 7 1 1 0 0 18 17 -4.7
Quion Burns * 34 3-16 1-11 3-5 8 0 3 0 0 10 5 +4.8
A.J. Lopez * 33 6-14 5-8 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 19 7 -3.9
Keelan Steele * 12 2-2 0-0 3-6 2 1 0 0 1 7 7 +0.8
Killian Gribben 17 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 6 7 +3.0
Christopher Mantis 13 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -6.3
Logan Carey 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -11.2
Ridvan Tutic 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 5 -1.1

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Delonnie Hunt * 36 2-9 0-3 11-13 4 3 4 0 3 15 14 +5.8
Mikkel Tyne * 34 2-5 0-2 3-5 3 1 0 0 0 7 6 +5.5
Jason Roche * 31 5-8 5-8 4-5 2 1 0 0 3 19 11 -4.1
Jonathan Beagle * 27 5-10 0-0 2-2 8 4 0 0 4 12 10 +2.2
Apostolos Roumoglou * 22 2-5 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 5 7 +4.5
Dusan Neskovic 21 2-5 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 +7.5
Mike Walz 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 2 5 +1.1
Collin Tanner 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 6 +3.2
Jack Graham 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +3.1
George Washington III 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter