Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Clayton * | 35 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -6.4 |
| K. Tynes * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | -4.7 |
| Q. Burns * | 34 | 3-16 | 1-11 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +4.8 |
| A.J. Lopez * | 33 | 6-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | -3.9 |
| K. Steele * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0.8 |
| K. Gribben | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +3.0 |
| C. Mantis | 13 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -6.3 |
| R. Tutic | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1.1 |
| L. Carey | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.2 |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hunt * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 11-13 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +5.8 |
| M. Tyne * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +5.5 |
| J. Roche * | 31 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | -4.1 |
| J. Beagle * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | +2.2 |
| A. Roumoglou * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +4.5 |
| D. Neskovic | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +7.5 |
| M. Walz | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +1.1 |
| C. Tanner | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| J. Graham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.1 |
| G. Washington III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter