Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 39 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Julian Rishwain | 33 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Jalen Hill | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Jaden Henley | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -0.3 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Jailen Bedford | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.5 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Smith | 33 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | +5.5 |
| Nate Santos | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Javon Bennett | 30 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Zed Key | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Posh Alexander | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Amael L'Etang | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.4 |
| Jacob Conner | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| Hamad Mousa | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaiun Simon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.7 |
* = starter