Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.2 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Lobsinger * | 36 | 8-19 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Markhi Strickland * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -0.1 |
| EJ Ryans * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Brandon Muntu * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +4.3 |
| Max Burton * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Marquese Josephs | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -14.4 |
| Michael Sulaka | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Seryee Lewis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +11.8 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos * | 39 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 36 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 24 | +3.4 |
| Javon Bennett * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Malachi Smith * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Zed Key * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Posh Alexander | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Amael L'Etang | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +7.2 |
| Isaac Jack | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Hamad Mousa | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Jaiun Simon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter