Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +21 (74-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cook * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Zawdie Jackson * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -18.8 |
| Robert Carpenter * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | -12.0 |
| Carl Cherenfant * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -18.5 |
| Emmanuel Tshimanga * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Peter Filipovity | 24 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -17.4 |
| Dionte Bostick | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Jaden Harris | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -12.1 |
| Edward Nnamoko | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Nate Tshimanga | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Gabe Pickens | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.8 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos * | 33 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | +12.7 |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +20.7 |
| Zed Key * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +21.8 |
| Javon Bennett * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | +22.7 |
| Malachi Smith * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +15.8 |
| Posh Alexander | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +11.2 |
| Hamad Mousa | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.3 |
| Amael L'Etang | 13 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +10.7 |
| Jacob Conner | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Jaiun Simon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Isaac Jack | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will Maxwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Evan Dickey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Atticus Schuler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brady Uhl | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
| Makai Grant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
* = starter