Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +30 (87-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Parker | 30 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -22.7 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 24 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | -24.7 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.3 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -25.0 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -6.2 |
| Chris Moncrief | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -4.0 |
| A. Talbert | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -13.9 |
| Aidan Harris | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Victor Payne | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Daemar Kelly | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -8.3 |
| Miles Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.1 |
| KJ Swain Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Blaze Angellotti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Zachary Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos | 26 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +29.0 |
| Posh Alexander | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +26.5 |
| Javon Bennett | 25 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | +12.9 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | +21.8 |
| Zed Key | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 19 | +17.4 |
| Malachi Smith | 20 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +12.8 |
| Jacob Conner | 17 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -3.7 |
| Amael L'Etang | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Hamad Mousa | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Jaiun Simon | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Evan Dickey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Will Maxwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Atticus Schuler | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Makai Grant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter