Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.4% | 5.6% | -15.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -39 (37-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makiah Asidanya | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Nya Smith | 22 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Jailah Clark-Jones | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jaila Lee | 20 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Nia Howard | 20 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Khalis Cain | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Tasia Johnson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Jayde Gamble | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Kelly Boyle | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Yacine N'Diaye | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kristina Rakotobe | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Joelle Davis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Ayanna Jackson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.2 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Diarra | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Ariana Bennett | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Talia Harris | 35 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1.8 |
| A. Locke | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 7 | +1.0 |
| K. Smith | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Chelsy Bautista | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Ste. Utomi | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| I. Stefanaki | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
* = starter