Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +23 (75-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tuff | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -9.4 |
| A. Wilson | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -13.0 |
| S. Bailey | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -9.5 |
| D. McCaughan | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -9.9 |
| L. Simmons | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Taylor Wilkins | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -10.4 |
| Trinity Fields | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -17.4 |
| A. Swift | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Deb Orianegbena | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -8.8 |
| Sydney Burris | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.1 |
| B. Thompson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +1.5 |
| L. Bone | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.2 |
| N. Minnis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Jazlyn Ware | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Diarra | 33 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +21.4 |
| A. Locke | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +16.6 |
| Ariana Bennett | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +18.0 |
| Aliyah Collins | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +14.9 |
| A. Johnson | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +14.9 |
| Talia Harris | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Chelsy Bautista | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +7.7 |
| K. Smith | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Z. Palaska | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1.8 |
| I. Stefanaki | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8.8 |
| Ste. Utomi | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.8 |
| H. Knoll | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
* = starter