Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Burton | 37 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Avyonce Carter | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -3.0 |
| Tyja Beans | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Chelsea Wooten | 29 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Zanoria Cruz | 24 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Taj Hunter | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Grace Pack | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -5.1 |
| Reagan Trumm | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Kennedy Hilsenroth | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Nicole Azar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Moore | 37 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | +2.3 |
| Braylyn Milton | 34 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +11.1 |
| Carmen Richardson | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Meghan Downing | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Isabella Hunt | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +6.5 |
| Brecken Snotherly | 20 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Kendall Folley | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Paige Lyons | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | -2.2 |
| Gemma Grüttner Bacoul | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Lucy Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
* = starter