Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +21 (69-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Langham | 35 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Sierra Godbolt | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Aubrey Blankenship | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Alonya Waldon | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Claire Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Sadie Stetson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Annie Ramil | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jada Knight | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kylee Lewandowski | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kamryn Knight | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alyssa Tarpley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martha Bishop | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Moore | 29 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Braylyn Milton | 25 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Carmen Richardson | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kendall Folley | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Meghan Downing | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Paige Lyons | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brecken Snotherly | 17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Isabella Hunt | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lucy Hood | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jaidyn Harper | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kennedy Younkin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaylee Carson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gemma Grüttner Bacoul | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter