Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +7 (50-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Moore | 40 | 6-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 1 | -10.2 |
| Braylyn Milton | 36 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Carmen Richardson | 34 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -7.4 |
| Meghan Downing | 23 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Paige Lyons | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -5.8 |
| Kendall Folley | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -8.4 |
| Isabella Hunt | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.2 |
| Brecken Snotherly | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.6 |
| Lucy Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Langham | 37 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +12.3 |
| Claire Johnson | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +14.2 |
| Sadie Stetson | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Sierra Godbolt | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| E. Snoddy | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Alonya Waldon | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +7.2 |
| Annie Ramil | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +8.1 |
| Aubrey Blankenship | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Kamryn Knight | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Jada Knight | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Kylee Lewandowski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
* = starter