Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +2 (48-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Moore | 36 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Braylyn Milton | 35 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Meghan Downing | 32 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Brecken Snotherly | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Paige Lyons | 21 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | +0.2 |
| Carmen Richardson | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -6.8 |
| Kendall Folley | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -0.7 |
| Isabella Hunt | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Jaidyn Harper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Gemma Grüttner Bacoul | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigrun Olafsdottir | 40 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Karsen Murphy | 40 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
| Caia Elisaldez | 38 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Gianna Corbitt | 29 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Brooke Anya | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | +7.6 |
| F. van der Schans | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Ava Card | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Jade Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Takia Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter