Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -30 (39-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Elisaldez | 35 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | -8.4 |
| S. Olafsdottir | 35 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -8.4 |
| K. Murphy | 29 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -12.9 |
| A. Card | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.1 |
| G. Corbitt | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -9.9 |
| F. van der Schans | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -9.9 |
| T. Davis | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.7 |
| B. Anya | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -0.1 |
| J. Moore | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.8 |
| M. Buzic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Harris | 39 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +8.7 |
| N. Diarra | 36 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | +9.4 |
| A. Locke | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Ariana Bennett | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | +13.5 |
| Chelsy Bautista | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +9.3 |
| K. Smith | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
| I. Stefanaki | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Z. Palaska | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter