Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Lady Bears | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils -5 (48-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Lady Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Jones | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Michaela Bogans | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Laila Fair | 25 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +4.9 |
| Jala Bannerman | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | +2.5 |
| Nia Green | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Gabrielle Johnson | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Jael Butler | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +3.7 |
| Success Prysock | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Kimora Lopez | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 |
| Kimora Daly | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Dakota Alston | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.1 |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Kenefick | 39 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Belle Lanpher | 36 | 5-18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Amaya Williams | 30 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Selina Monestime | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Alonna Sellers | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Jessica Farrell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Lucia Noin | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.7 |
| Dagny Slomack | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Kayla Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Cierra Pearson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
* = starter