Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | -1.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +6 (58-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josie Hill | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -9.8 |
| Marisa Gant | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Evangelina Parrish | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -8.1 |
| Aiyanna Culver | 25 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Tania Allen | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Kace Urlacher | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -14.2 |
| Hailey Hohenecker | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -10.9 |
| Keona McGee | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Kayla Mount | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Tally Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fabozzi | 36 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +8.3 |
| T. Washington | 35 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +14.2 |
| L. Doyinsola Modesayor | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | +5.6 |
| K. Foz | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +8.5 |
| I. Fernandez de Caleya | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -0.5 |
| A. Ricard | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +3.9 |
| H. Balde-Camara | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +6.1 |
| K. Kaci | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +7.1 |
| M. Doreste | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.6 |
| E. Johansson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| KC Carter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
* = starter