Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Mercyhurst Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercyhurst Lakers -15 (65-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ineivi Plata | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Natalie Johnson | 32 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Marina Artero | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marissa Shelton | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Airah Lavy | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Harris Robinson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jade Campbell | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Giselle Eke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gemma Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alary Bell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Van Schaik | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Allyson Ross | 35 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Bailey Kuhns | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Grace Clary | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Erica Hall | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cici Hernandez | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Ava Waid | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Singo Lekeuneu | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lauryn Stover | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Alena Fusetti | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sophia Kelly | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Grace Strickland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter