Model Predictions
| Model | Mercyhurst Lakers | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Ross | 34 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Bailey Kuhns | 31 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Quinn Borroni | 30 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jenna Van Schaik | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Singo Lekeuneu | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Grace Strickland | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Ava Waid | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Lauryn Stover | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cici Hernandez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Grace Clary | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sophia Kelly | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleah Washington | 36 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Julia Fabozzi | 31 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Keana Foz | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Angelie Ricard | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Klea Kaci | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Maria Doreste | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| KC Carter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter