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2024-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 โœ“ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.8% 98.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“

Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +18 (66-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Asta Blauenfeldt 33 7-8 3-3 2-2 2 4 2 0 4 19 15 -7.3
Olivia Rockwood 31 0-4 0-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 1 0 -25.4
Caroline Bornemann 29 2-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 4 3 -9.0
Sera Hodgson 28 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -0.6
Paula Gallego 27 1-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 0 -16.1
Caroline Dotsey 25 7-14 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 18 7 -18.8
Jaycie Christopher 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -19.3
Idan Shlush 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.8
Emmie Streams 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -13.8

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ava Renninger 37 6-14 2-3 0-0 5 4 0 1 0 14 10 +15.0
Abby Conklin 33 1-8 0-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 0 +19.7
Teneisia Brown 32 5-11 0-0 3-6 15 1 1 0 3 13 16 +12.1
Lilly Parke 31 2-5 2-2 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 7 7 +13.8
Abaigeal Babore 30 3-8 2-3 3-3 4 0 2 0 2 11 7 +13.0
Kailee McDonald 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 +9.0
Rebecca Osei-Owusu 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 +6.3
Bella Toomey 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 +9.7
Staci Williams 5 1-3 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 +4.6

* = starter