Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +32 (85-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Roberts | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -29.4 |
| Niklas Polonowski | 29 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | -31.6 |
| Sam Brown | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -15.8 |
| Michael Zanoni | 23 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -13.4 |
| Nick Spinoso | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Augustus Gerhart | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -7.8 |
| George Smith | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -9.6 |
| Bradyn Foster | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.5 |
| AJ Levine | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -12.0 |
| Dylan Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Michelangelo Oberti | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Maddox | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +28.5 |
| Jared Billups | 30 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +29.4 |
| Brayden O'Connor | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +23.5 |
| Zach Anderson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +13.1 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +7.3 |
| Jalen Haynes | 19 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +9.4 |
| Woody Newton | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.7 |
| K.D. Johnson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +9.3 |
| Justin Begg | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Bryson Cokley | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Stas Sivka | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +5.7 |
* = starter