Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Lipscomb | 32 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -4.6 |
| C. Pacheco | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -19.6 |
| D. Adebayo | 27 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -5.3 |
| T. Ard Jr. | 26 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +1.8 |
| J. Cordilia | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -20.9 |
| J. Ervin | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +2.8 |
| A. Keyes | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -7.8 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Hobbs | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +16.1 |
| T. Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Billups | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +6.4 |
| B. O'Connor | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +8.8 |
| J. Haynes | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 26 | +8.3 |
| D. Maddox | 27 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Z. Anderson | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +10.8 |
| K.D. Johnson | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | -0.5 |
| G. Emejuru | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3.3 |
| J. Begg | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -8.2 |
| W. Newton | 11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.1 |
* = starter