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2024-12-03

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -
Points Off/Def 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: George Mason Patriots +22 (74-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Marsh * 32 7-15 1-3 1-1 3 2 2 0 8 16 0 -19.0
T. Solomon * 31 5-13 1-1 2-4 4 1 2 0 1 13 6 -17.6
F. Abee * 28 1-7 1-5 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 5 1 -7.3
J. Davis * 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 2 5 -8.8
J. Banks * 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 -1 -17.0
K. Taylor 15 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.6
S. Tolentino 12 3-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -4.0
G. Gantt Jr. 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -13.5
A. Rubio 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 2 8 -0.8
C. Dubsky 9 1-2 1-2 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -10.3
J. Clarke 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -0.7
J. Thompson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. O'Connor * 33 3-7 2-4 1-2 3 5 2 0 4 9 8 +19.2
J. Haynes * 27 12-15 0-0 1-3 10 0 1 0 4 25 17 +14.7
K.D. Johnson * 26 1-1 1-1 3-4 1 3 0 0 5 6 4 +14.9
W. Newton * 24 4-6 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 11 12 +12.2
Z. Anderson * 20 2-3 1-2 1-3 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 +10.2
J. Billups 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 3 0 0 2 8 +18.1
G. Emejuru 23 2-3 0-0 6-9 7 1 1 0 1 10 15 +3.6
J. Begg 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 2 4 +4.8
J. Quigley 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 +0.8
B. Cokley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Sivka 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.7

* = starter