Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes -5 (61-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Anderson * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +5.5 |
| B. O'Connor * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +3.4 |
| J. Haynes * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +5.0 |
| D. Maddox * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +1.7 |
| W. Newton * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +4.8 |
| J. Billups | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +5.9 |
| K.D. Johnson | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +5.2 |
| G. Emejuru | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.9 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Brown * | 31 | 2-12 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -2.2 |
| M. Freeman * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -4.8 |
| E. Ricks III * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -6.0 |
| AJ Smith * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -12.6 |
| E. Hutchins-Everett * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +6.5 |
| B. Lindsay | 32 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | -2.7 |
| N. Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +8.9 |
| L. Anderson | 9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5.0 |
| E. Dowuona | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| J. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter