Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maddox * | 44 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 8 | -0.1 |
| J. Billups * | 39 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -0.5 |
| W. Newton * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -6.0 |
| B. O'Connor * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -3.2 |
| J. Haynes * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +1.1 |
| G. Emejuru | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +4.6 |
| J. Quigley | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Z. Anderson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.0 |
| J. Begg | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -0.0 |
| K.D. Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2.4 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Felton * | 46 | 8-25 | 2-10 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | +1.8 |
| C.J. Walker * | 44 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | +2.9 |
| J. Riley * | 43 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +4.0 |
| J. Woodard * | 41 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +0.5 |
| C. Hayes * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +4.3 |
| J. Soumaoro | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Y. Farell | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.5 |
| C. Malonga | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter