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2024-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.7 โœ“ (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“

Actual: George Mason Patriots +38 (94-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin O'Connor * 33 2-4 0-1 2-5 4 4 1 0 3 6 8 -33.1
Andre Snoddy * 27 2-6 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 5 6 -25.1
Joe Octave * 25 1-8 0-3 4-6 2 1 1 0 0 6 2 -19.8
Ben Wight * 25 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 10 8 -19.6
CJ Luster II * 15 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -2 -7.9
Jared Frey 26 5-11 1-6 3-3 2 0 0 0 3 14 2 -27.1
Nick Woodard 19 2-9 2-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 -1 -7.6
Sabry Philip 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 0 -2 -15.0
Jeremiah Nyarko 11 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 4 4 -1.4
Quin Gorman 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -8.7

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Billups * 23 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 4 1 0 0 3 9 +35.2
Woody Newton * 23 1-4 0-1 1-1 9 1 0 0 0 3 9 +14.1
Brayden O'Connor * 21 3-3 1-1 2-2 2 2 3 0 2 9 11 +10.3
Darius Maddox * 19 5-8 2-5 8-9 1 1 1 0 1 20 14 +16.1
Jalen Haynes * 18 2-4 0-1 3-4 6 2 0 0 1 7 10 +8.3
K.D. Johnson 23 3-10 2-4 1-2 0 6 1 0 3 9 3 +13.9
Zach Anderson 21 5-10 5-8 0-0 7 0 2 0 0 15 14 +25.2
Justin Begg 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 5 6 +19.2
Giovanni Emejuru 18 7-8 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 1 17 16 +19.9
Jeremiah Quigley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 +2.7
Bryson Cokley 4 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 +0.6
Stas Sivka 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +4.8

* = starter